CASES BY LOCATION: 
DEATHS BY LOCATION: 
Contra Costa County COVID-19 data as of Saturday Dec.12, 2020:
- Total cases (since March) – 29,599
- Total active confirmed cases – 4,513
- Recovered cases – 24,807
- Total tested – 692,402
- Deaths – 279
- Nobody under 30 years old has died – 137 deaths in nursing homes
- There are currently 20 active COVID-19 outbreaks in Contra Costa nursing homes
Contra Costa County COVID-19 Hospital Data:
- COVID-19 patients currently hospitalized – 155
- Occupied ICU beds – 138 (35 COVID patients)
- Available ICU beds – 40
- Available ventilators – 213
PREVIOUS DAY NUMBERS SHOWN BELOW:
Contra Costa County COVID-19 data as of Friday Dec.11, 2020:
- Total cases (since March) – 29,124
- Total active confirmed cases – 4,378
- Recovered cases – 24,467
- Total tested – 683,980
- Deaths – 279
- Nobody under 30 years old has died – 137 deaths in nursing homes
- There are currently 19 active COVID-19 outbreaks in Contra Costa nursing homes
Contra Costa County COVID-19 Hospital Data:
- COVID-19 patients currently hospitalized – 156
- Occupied ICU beds – 139 (32 COVID patients)
- Available ICU beds – 38
- Available ventilators – 219
So overall numbers from the start …
~4.2 positivity rate//7.5% nationally
~0.9% mortality rate of known case with current death stats//Nationally 1.8%
~22.5 ICU beds are available, based on staffing not equipment. Based on equipment (212 beds seen reported before), 35% ICU beds are available.
> 200 ventilators available
And we have killed how many businesses over this?
And damaged how may children’s psyche?
And lost how many jobs?
We have two more ICU beds available while you all are going broke.
That’s two more than yesterday.
I’m getting tired of TRIPPING over DEAD BODIES in the street!
LMAO ! Hahahahahh
I think it’s time for the Mayor to include all the facts with these reports.
The CDC and John’s Hopkins are every bit as reputable as the Health Dept –
CDC’s survival rate by age
0-19 99.997%
20-49 99.98%
50-69 99.5%
70 + 94.6%
John’s Hopkins study-
Year over year overall number of deaths in the US – “Flat”
What do you think Mayor? Let’s include more relevant facts to give us a more realistic perspective.
This article explains the data. A link directly to the CDC website with their data is within the article.
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/09/25/cdc-data-shows-high-virus-survival-rate-99-plus-for-ages-69-and-younger-94-6-for-older/
If You do not find this to be definitive, let me now and I will dive deeper.
Patriot,
Good idea. I think the Mayor should also keep a tally of all the local businesses that have gone under.
Country singer Charlie Pride 86 just died of the covid. Kiss an Angel Good Mornin maybe a different new pleasure.
I have 25 ICU beds avail after converting my restaurant to a ER.
I am charging $25,000 a day and this includes a ventilator if needed.
This is a killer deal
B4 taking the vaccine, check the ingredients and side effects. This message is from someone who cares.
Has anyone noticed they only report the total death number? Almost seems like they dont want you to know the daily or weekly rate because then you’d realize lockdowns are nonsense.
Here are some of the basic facts:
The national average death rate in the US is 8.5 people per thousand. For the 1.15 million in Contra Costa that equals about 9700 deaths per year (or 26 per day)
Day in, day out, year after year.
But according to the chart above there have only been 276 covid deaths since March. That’s about 1 per day. And that’s assuming they are actually deaths caused by covid and not just death with covid. And since the numbers were higher in the first wave, the actual daily rate currently is less than 1.
So for that we are destroying the economy?
And a large number is NOT because of CVOID CDC even admitted so.
They’re not lying; they just don’t know anything about statistics and are unable to make judgments on calculated risks.
There’s no reason to shut down an entire economy based upon extremely low risk.
It’s all about power and taking action to retain that power.
This letter was published last night by 3 well known ER doctors from John Muir Hospital in Walnut Creek, CA
Dr Farnitano and Contra Costa County supervisors,
We are writing to you with deep concern regarding more lockdown measures for our county. We feel the science is clear that more lockdowns lead to much more non covid morbidity and mortality as supported by the CDC.
We are confused as to why this is happening as we are often overcapacity in our hospitals and ICUs every winter and we have never done this previously. We also run our ICUs normally at a high rate of occupancy as this is most cost effective.
Here are the issues in a nutshell:
1. Excessive PCR testing is leading to numerous false positive results. The specificity of PCR testing is really unknown but I have seen many authorities claim it is no higher than the low 90% range because of the attempt to be 100% sensitive using cycle threshold standards of 40. (sensitivity is inversely related to specificity)
2. For the sake of illustration, I will assume a 97-98% specificity which is likely far too high. Back in March when the county could only perform 300-400 tests per day, a 98% specificity would only lead to 6-8 false positive tests. Now we have reached up to 8000 tests per day. With a 98% specificity, that would lead to 160 false positive cases a day in our county. With a population of 1.1 million that would put us at 14.5 positive cases per 100,000 population and we would find ourselves in the worst possible tier based solely on false positive tests!!! This is absolutely a fact of epidemiology/science.
3. Again we have normal ICU and hospital winter surges that happen every winter and we never had any county lockdowns. Our county figures on your website show essentially a stable ICU occupancy from July 1st to today. In addition on your website, we only have a minimal surge in hospitalized patients as compared to last year.
4. When you test like this for everyone that comes into your hospital, ‘hospital covid patient” numbers will rise simply because you are capturing more asymptomatic disease in patients who otherwise are visiting the hospital for other reasons.
5. Public policy is being based on these erroneous numbers and assumptions.
6. Public policy with shutdowns (various closures) leads to excessive non covid related deaths. Please see attached CDC article which shows clearly that these excessive deaths are most pronounced in the 25-44 year old age range with numerous weeks during this year that 40-50% excessive deaths are seen in this age group. When you measure in terms of life-years lost as compared to life-years lost with actual covid deaths, it is not even close. We are harming more people in our community who do not have nor are at risk of having significant covid disease with senseless closures of businesses and schools. This is data supported.
7. The CDC and pediatric societies across America have voiced their support of opening all schools. School age children are not significant vectors of the disease.
With this information above, can you answer the following questions:
1. how do you account for these high numbers of false positives with the county tiering system? Do you throw these numbers out so that only true positives are counted?
2. Why did you not intervene with any type of community closure in the past winters when our hospitals were at overcapacity? What is different now?
3. What data do you have that supports closures of businesses like gyms and outdoor dining while keeping other businesses open like walmart? What data do you have that supports that we stay indoors as opposed to outdoors? (all the science that we have reviewed supports a predominantly 99% indoor vehicle of transmission).
4. Why have you gone against the medical experts in not recommending the opening of our schools?
5. What about our county’s ICU figures caused you to trigger a closure? As you can see on Contra Costa County website, ICU occupancy has been stable between 75 and 80% since July 1st despite changing covid admissions. Please be specific here. When we run normally at 75% occupancy, why is 85% so terrible? We handle these surges every winter. It is expected.
We look forward to your reply.
Sincerely
Pete Mazolewski, MD, FACS, USAR
Brian Hopkins, MD,
Mike deBoisblanc, MD, FACS, USAR
Awesome letter!
Thanks for posting the letter. I know many more physicians would speak up if they were not afraid of repercussions. This pandemic is being used for a political agenda though those who are running will deny it.
Thank you for posting! How do we get this to all the school boards?
Martinez is planning on making the children go online for an even longer amount of time starting in Jan and no talk of ever reopening 🙁
Sadly, Dr. Farnitano, the Contra Costa County Supervisors, nor any School Board will read it. It’s too long for them.
Is there a link to where this letter was posted? I’ve tried searches but haven’t found it yet.
@Anon~Thank you for sharing this letter.
Doctors: Thank you for submitting your educated opinions, and thought provoking questions. It’s great for citizens to get to read this. However, I would not hold your breath waiting for a response from CCC.
Got interested so did some searches with different word combinations.
Searching net is similar to searching for parts in a so called maintenance management program my employer uses, ya have to be specifically vague when searching. used, cv-19 survival percent by age
Came across this comparing, “… COVID-19, pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by sex and age group and state.”
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku
Am I interpreting info in what they’re calling “Table Preview” correctly, pneumonia deaths higher then CV-19 in first table displayed. 65-74 years 55,985 CV-19, pneumonia 57,773 ? ?
02/01/2020 12/05/2020 just California
Male 65-74 years
CV-19 deaths 2,668
pneumonia deaths 3,354
Male 75-84 years
CV-19 deaths 2,519
pneumonia deaths 3,652
From same URL posted above, hit “NEXT” until chart with CA numbers came up. Again hope I’m interpreting chart correctly.
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku has columns for
COVID-19 Deaths
Total Deaths
Pneumonia Deaths
Pneumonia and COVID-19 Deaths
Influenza Deaths
Pneumonia, Influenza, or COVID-19 Deaths
It’s not clear if “Pneumonia Deaths” includes “Pneumonia and COVID-19 Deaths” or if it means deaths from Pneumonia but not COVID-19.
One clue is if you subtract “COVID-19 Deaths” from “Pneumonia, Influenza, or COVID-19 Deaths” then you should get the number of deaths from Pneumonia and/or Influenza where COVID-19 was not involved. Here’s the data:
As the last line is smaller than what’s in the ‘Pneumonia Deaths’ line we know that ‘Pneumonia Deaths’ must be including deaths where the person may have had COVID-19, Influenza, or other things.
@Original G – It turns out that if you click on the “Discuss” tab that on https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku/data that people had already asked the question about Pneumonia deaths. The answer from the NCHS is “Pneumonia deaths are reported as deaths involving pneumonia with or without COVID-19. Pneumonia and COVID-19 deaths are reported as deaths involving both pneumonia and COVID-19.”
There are more discussion items that are useful for interpreting the results of the database.
Thanks for that, am still bothered by column labeling, “Pneumonia” then another column labeled “Pneumonia and Covid-19 deaths” and numbers in columns are different.
Would be interesting to compare Pneumonia deaths from 2017 or 2018 against 2020 here in CA, to see if there is difference after lock downs and “mask” wearing.
Given virus size is probably a good thing those in charge only dare to use percentage when referring to protection afforded by cloth masks.
Am convinced if N95s were widely available and used Covid numbers would have been consistently falling over last few months, since they’re able to filter out 95% of virus particles.
Perhaps some time late next year some “journalist” will begin asking some tough questions about lock downs and utter lack of N95 availability to general public.
Unfortunate those in charge FAILED to build stockpiles of N95 masks back to pre N1H1 levels. Same time period in which CA’s state owned advanced emergency field hospitals were dismantled, equipment sold off, given away or scrapped.
Contra Costa County has similar survival mate numbers as the CDC:
The county does not know the ages of everyone they have tested which is why the total cases is less than all cases.
Here is the county data using age ranges as close as possible to the CDC ranges @Patriot noted above at December 13, 2020 at 7:21 AM. CC county seems to be doing slightly worse than the nation.
@GetTheFacts – Health authorities continue to justify the lockdowns on the theory that if there were no lockdowns that the number of cases and deaths would be much higher. Thus, you can’t say there’s only X cases or deaths for COVID-19 which is nothing compared to something else. For example, we don’t go all out trying to stop the flu and yet COVID-19 has killed more people than the worse flu season. Typically, 192 people die per year in CC county from influenza/pneumonia.
Here’s a minor correction to the second table.
Okay, so there’s been 87 more deaths from Covid-19 than the flu/pneumonia in CCC this year, and the year is almost over. We don’t go through all this crap to keep people from getting/dying from the flu.
And more older men are dying from pneumonia in California than Covid-19. Enough is enough.