Contra Costa County COVID-19 data as of Wednesday Feb.10, 2021.
All information is from the Contra Costa County Health Dept.:
- Total cases (since March) – 59,751
- Recovered cases – 56,409
- Deaths – 580
- Total active confirmed cases – 2,762
- Nursing home deaths – 266
- 41 active outbreaks in nursing homes
Contra Costa County COVID-19 Hospital Data:
- Patients currently hospitalized – 124
- Occupied ICU beds – 131
- Available ICU beds – 35
The State will move Contra Costa County to the “Red Tier” once the following three criteria have been met for two consecutive weeks:
- Case Rate: Less than 7 new cases per 100,000 residents – (currently 20.6)
- Positivity Rate: Less than 8% of tests countywide are positive – (currently 5.6%)
- Equity Metric: Less than 8% of tests for residents of the lowest quartile of the Healthy Places Index census tracts are positive – (currently 8.6%)
K-6 School Reopening:
Contra Costa County is currently in the Purple Tier. Schools may not reopen for grades 7-12 while in the Purple Tier. K-6 school may reopen for in-person instruction in the Purple Tier if the adjusted case rate has been less than 25 per 100,000 population (currently 20.3) per day for at least 5 consecutive days (schools can now reopen) and the school has an approved COVID Safety Plan. Local school officials will decide whether and when to reopen once these criteria are met.
I find the Case Rate goal a bit unattainable. We continue to be in the 20+ range and 7 per 100,000 is extremely low. There are probably at least 7 false-positives every day.
Case Rate: Less than 7 new cases per 100,000 residents – (currently 20.6)
I was just going to post the same thing. I’ve been thinking about it for a few days. I don’t think that number is EVER going to be obtained, even after a second or third iteration of the vaccine. There’s WAY to many variables in an area this densely populated to think that it can get to 7/100,000.
And when it gets to 10 per 100k, will anybody still think we need to be in ANY kind of a “tier”?
@Rae Dio – We should be below 7 cases per 100,000 in less than a month. A case rate of 7 translates to 81.2 new cases per day assuming the county’s population is 1,160,099. We were below 81.2 new cases per day for exactly a month from 9/29/2020 to 10/29/2020 and also before 6/21/2020.
At this point we are at 247 new cases per day which is the same as we were in 11/22/2020. The surges seem symmetrical in terms of rise/fall time which is why I said less than a month for new cases per day to drop from 247 to under 81.2. You can see the drop in progress on https://www.coronavirus.cchealth.org/overview and on that page look for the “7-Day Rolling Average # of New Cases by Collection Day” graph. If you hover the mouse on the line it’ll show you the number for that day.
Death rate jumped by 20 people in a day. Yesterday it was 560.
I was wrong, 574 yesterday, 580 today. Still sad.
@Dorothy – The county seems to process reporting of deaths on a weekly basis with most of them being reported on Thursdays.
It’s magic! Snap! And Covid19 is gone.
The case rate is just their best guess on what might be manageable. Is there a case rate number for school age children? Is there a case rate for teachers?
On the down side . https://apple.news/ATMVDL-mWSQXNBIFyuv9U_w
Those black masks must function a lot like black underwear. You just don’t see the Covid-19,