Contra Costa County COVID-19 data as of Tuesday March 9, 2021.
All information is from the Contra Costa County Health Dept.:
- Total cases (since March) – 63,567
- Recovered cases – 61,616
- Deaths – 712
- Total active confirmed cases – 1,239
- Nursing home deaths – 306
- 7 active outbreaks in nursing homes
Contra Costa County COVID-19 Hospital Data:
- Patients currently hospitalized – 68
- Occupied ICU beds – 124
- Available ICU beds – 37
The State will move Contra Costa County to the “Red Tier” once the following three criteria have been met for two consecutive weeks:
- Case Rate: Less than 7 new cases per 100,000 residents – (currently 9.1)
- Positivity Rate: Less than 8% of tests countywide are positive – (currently 2.9%)
- Equity Metric: Less than 8% of tests for residents of the lowest quartile of the Healthy Places Index census tracts are positive – (currently 4.7%)
K-6 School Reopening:
Contra Costa County is currently in the Purple Tier. Schools may not reopen for grades 7-12 while in the Purple Tier. K-6 school may reopen for in-person instruction in the Purple Tier if the adjusted case rate has been less than 25 per 100,000 population (currently 7.9) per day for at least 5 consecutive days (schools have been able to reopen since Feb.9) and the school has an approved COVID Safety Plan. Local school officials will decide whether and when to reopen once these criteria are met.
Just can’t quite get to that magic number of 7/100k. What’s the plus/minus on False/Positive tests? I feel like we’ve probably been under that 7 mark for a while now…..
The 24-hour news cycle seems to lead people into forgetting what things were like yesterday…
The false/positive tests are offset by the false/negative tests. They are a very small factor.
The main factor for the case rate is the positivity rate. The positivity rate was steady at 10% in early January and is now has dropped to just under 2%. If the number of tests per day is exactly the same we would see a 5x drop in the number of new cases per day and a 5x drop in the case rate.
The second most important factor is the number of tests per day. This peaked at 7358 on December 23rd and then crashed to about 6000 per day from December 24th to January 7th. It then jumped back to 7,391 on January 8th and has been declining since then. It’s at about 5000 now.
As it’s a manufactured number, the number of tests per day should never have been part of the equation for the tiers. We are at over 1.2 million tests administered which more than the population of the county. I only know a single person who has ever been tested. She’s a government worker, now working from home, and has been tested over a dozen times, always negative. I’m now thinking that the 1.2 million tests is of roughly 100,000 people, mainly government and possibly healthcare and LTCF workers, all getting tested a dozen times each. As the government workers took the holidays off the numbers crashed during that period. That population of 100,000 people has now recovered from the holiday parties, which spread the virus into 10% of that population.
As the positivity rate is down five times from January levels and the number of tests has dropped from the near 7400s to about 5000s the case rate has also dropped.
I’m also thinking that the concept of “tiers” is an artificial / manufactured goalpost. However, that’s an essay in itself…
Does Covid still exist anymore?
Ask the thousands of people still dying everyday. Oh wait you can’t
Good to know that the racebaiter metric has been met.
Gavin bin Lyin’ announced that California is “never going back to normal”. He enjoys the power way too much to ever give it up evidently. In my new home state, dining-in is not just possible, but actually very popular. My new neighbors shake hands, don’t wear masks when they go for a walk or drive, and are normal. I will miss my Canterbury Villagers, but not the Kleptofornica Krazy.
OPEN THE COUNTY AND STATE. Enough is enough.